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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It isn’t a third party if they have only a candidate for President and no other candidates or state organizations. That’s just a spoiler campaign. There is no third party movement at all.

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The one or two GOP/No Labels boosters were hoping you didn’t notice that.[/quote]
Umkay. Let's see what the sentiment is a year from now when the fact that Biden isn't going to win finally becomes apparent to those living in la la land. It will be too late in the game to do anything about it and you folks who refused to see the obvious writing on the wall will be the ones to blame for a Trump victory. It's just ridiculous. Ignorance is what got Trump elected in 2016. Repeat. [/quote]

Biden beat Trump in 2020.  Yes he did.  Trump lost. The GOP will have to try to play games in 2024 to have even a shred of hope for their truly terrible candidate.   Trump is so weak, doubt that even no labels can do anything to help him much.[/quote]

You missed PP’s point. [/quote]

Pp thinks Biden will lose.  What is hard to understand about that?[/quote]

No. PP is saying that if something happens to Biden, there is no backup plan and no one is thinking about it. If, God forbid, Biden had a major stroke or died, Democrats will be SOL because they haven’t given any serious thought to that scenario. That is a huge issue. [/quote]

If something happens to trump, the GOP has the same issue.[/quote]

But the stupid GOP has been testing out other candidates!!!! God, the knee jerk reaction to a suggestion for the Democratic Party, but but but Trump like some adolescent trying to come up with an excuse for not doing their homework. Prepare to have someone who can beat both Trump and Biden. What is wrong with you people? This is the sort of crap that gave us Trump in the first place. [/quote]
It’s not a knee jerk reaction. We have played this game before several times and lost. You hate Biden irrationally and really rather stupidly, we get it.

I posted the actual vote tallies upthread of what happens when there’s a spoiler candidate. Say it to yourself over and over again until you understand this fundamental truth: in our current system, there is no third party option. Nader, Nader, Sanders/Stein. We literally had two of the worst presidents in American history due to people like you who can’t get it through their thick skulls that you can’t just huff in, decide you don’t like either of the two options - Joseph “Cheddar Cheese” Biden and Donald “Liquid Feces You Can’t Hold In” Trump - and then proceed to try and wreck the election.

My god you third party people are beyond stupid. [/quote]
There are no viable 3rd party candidates in the 2024 race at this point in time. Polling data for a head to head match-up between Trump & Biden indicates the likelihood of a Biden victory over Trump is at best a 50/50. Again, these are the same polls that showed Biden as a very clear favorite at this same point in time leading up to the 2020 election. Trump is the same awful and very beatable candidate he was in 2019/2020 but yet he is polling much better against the same guy he trailed by double digits in 2019. Read the room, the perception among voters of Biden's strength as a candidate has dwindled since 2019. That may not be fair but it is what it is. Shouting down a discussion that involves concerns of Biden's ability to beat Trump in 2024 is counter-productive. Most of us have the same goal in mind- keep Trump out of office. Some people are becoming troubled by what the polling data is indicating and the concern is valid. There are no easy solutions that will replace Biden with a candidate that will immediately be heavily favored to beat Trump. There may be no solution at all. The conversation is still valid and very important.[/quote]

Polling data?  This is the same election all over and we know what will happen in pa and ga and mi and az and the few other states that matter.  Trump already  lost in those states BEFORE the roe fiasco and the insurrection fiasco. Yet you argue he is stronger in those states now?  Sure he is.[/quote]

He has lost about 25% of the republicans. That means Biden wins everything he did before plus North Carolina and Florida.[/quote]

Don't know about republicans.  They seem to be lost causes.  But any new voters,  independent voters, swing voters,  - will he manage to attract a single one?[/quote]
We can assume that enough voters are smart enough to make the right choice on election day to guarantee a Biden victory by a wide margin but the current data tells a different story. The same polls that had Biden leading Trump by a very wide margin ahead of the 2020 election are now indicating a very tight, too close to call race. On election day, Trump outperformed the polling data in both 2016 and 2020. We had enough faith in the polling data in 2020 to make the right call in choosing Biden as the candidate with the best chance to beat Trump. Based on that same logic, there is reason to be very concerned at this point. As discussed, it will be very difficult for any other candidate to step in at this juncture with a better chance of beating Trump than Biden. This being the case, we have some work to do in order to justify having the same confidence in a Biden victory as we did in 2020. Wisconsin appears to be safely in Biden's corner. The polling margins in Michigan and Pennsylvania are currently razor thin which should be very worrisome to those of us that don't want Trump back in office.[/quote]

Polls seem to be limited use in recent memory.  The actual elections that have taken place since 2020 have showed the left and the pro-choice issue being very motivating and very successful and I see no reason for that to not continue and strengthen and to impact the 2024 election in a significant way.  [/quote]
Sounds good. RvW being overturned will indeed continue to be a burden for candidates on the right for the foreseeable future. Let's ignore the polls and plan our election night party of celebrating Biden's landslide victory. Nothing could go wrong.[/quote]

Then please explain how trump will escape this "burden" (talk about minimizing a big issue) and win the swing states?[/quote]
Let's hope he doesn't. I'm rooted in the DC metro area. Like most others from this area, the things that are primary motivations in my voting decisions are different from a large portion of the people living in states that are very important to the 2024 election such as Michigan and Pennsylvania. I am fortunate to live in an area with an abundance of high paying jobs and financial opportunity. I've seen a generation of people that bought 1200 sq ft colonials for 75k in the 1970s go on to realize appreciation that has taken those values to the 700k to 1mil range in many local areas and 500k to 600k in the less desirable areas. People from that same generation stuck in many parts of Pennsylvania and Michigan paid 75k for that same home in the 1970s and now those homes have market values in the 125k to 150k range. It is doubtful that any recent presidential administration could have done something to lessen this inequity but many voters in those states will continue to vote for the promise of "change" until they see the same improvements in quality of life and opportunity that other parts of the country have experienced in recent decades. Most of these people aren't "deplorables". They simply have different priorities when it comes to the primary motivations behind their voting decisions. The costs of a gallon of gas and a gallon of milk matters more to them than many of the things we are currently fired up about when going to the polls. Trump won Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2016 after those states were won by Obama in 2008 and 2012. Those three states decided the 2016 election. The 2016 results in the other 47 states were pretty close to predictable. I'm afraid Michigan and Pennsylvania are truly 50/50 swing states again regardless of how ridiculous that sounds to most of us living in the DC metro area. Trump will campaign the heck out those states and many will once again fall for the promise of change. If either or both of these states are swung back to red in 2024, Trump's path to victory will be much easier. [/quote]

At least in Michigan, the areas outside the southeastern and especially the tri-county areas (Macomb, Oakland — and Wayne(Detroit) in particular) have gained more influence and tend to be more conservative. It’s like if RoVA started having as much or more sway over NOVA today.  [/quote]
In what universe is this happening. Have you been under a rock since October 2022?[/quote]

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