Reply to Have you sign-up for weekly asymptomatic testing at APS

Forum Index » VA Public Schools other than FCPS

Reply to "Have you sign-up for weekly asymptomatic testing at APS"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous]Here is Michael Osterholm, an american epidemiologist who was the principal investigator and director of the NHI-supported Minnesota Center of Excellence for Influenze Research and Surveillance from 2007-14 and a current member of Joe Biden's covid-19 advisory board, two weeks ago on his Covid podcast looking at early September numbers on kid rates of Covid infection and death from Delta:

[quote]Chris Dall: [00:40:06] So now on schools, we've been discussing your concerns about schools in recent weeks, and at this point, most K-12 and college students across the country are fully back in school. Are we getting any indications yet of what we might see in the coming weeks?

Michael Osterholm: [00:40:23] We are getting an indication, and it is not pretty. Not at all. According to the latest report from the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Children's Hospital Association. There were nearly 252,000 cases in children aged zero to 17 during the week of August 27th to September 2nd. That's by far the highest number of weekly cases and kids we've reported to date, shattering the previous record set in mid-January by more than 40,000 cases. It also means that more than one in four U.S. cases that week was detected in kids. This is the challenge that I worry that far too many people in our educational system and parents do not understand. Let me just provide an update on the current number of deaths reported in the United States. [b]According to the American Pediatrics this week, there have been 444 total COVID deaths in children since the start of the pandemic. If we look at that number for the last year, in particular from September 3rd, 2020 to September 2nd 2021 in that one year span, there were 341 deaths. A total of 66 of those annual deaths, almost 20% occurred in just the past three weeks.[/b] Think of that:  20% of the [pediatric] deaths in the last year have occurred just in the last three weeks.

This is indicative of what Delta is doing. This is why it is so urgent for us to address transmission in kids in schools and to understand that this is a different virus with regard to what happens to kids, and we can't rely on those old data. [b]Last year's data looks very much like potentially a bad flu year. I can fully support that. We should be doing for schools and children with that kind of a picture, as we do each year with flu. We're in a different setting. This is a different ball game. This is a different virus. [/b]Unfortunately, pre-Delta data tells us nothing about where we're at right now with children and the idea that we could actually have the kind of control measures put in place that have been recommended by the CDC is simply, I think, irresponsible in terms of understanding what a safe school is today. We can't make a safe school. Parents, do not for a moment minimize that. Administrators, please don't. In public health, please don't. We can make schools safer. We can definitely do that and we should and we must. But we got to stop telling people we can make them safe because we can't. [/quote]

And from the most recent podcast this last week:

[quote]There have been 341 new admissions in children this week, 4.5 new admissions per 100,000 population, similar to what we saw on September 11th. There are surely a lot of regional variation right now in the data. Health and Human Services Region four, which includes Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina and Tennessee, has been hit the hardest, coming down from a peak two weeks ago, where they saw 1.1 new hospital admissions in children per 100,000 population and is currently seeing new admissions at about 0.95 per 100,000 population, a slight decrease. This is a figure which is a very sobering one. It's hard for me to even talk about it, and I think anyone on this podcast will understand that. In the past year, from September 10th, 2020 to September 9th 2021, there were 355 deaths in kids zero to seventeen, 355. However, 82 or 23% have occurred in just the last month. That's up from 20% last week. The number of deaths in kids have now reached a range that far exceeds anything we see with even a severe influenza season. We are really in uncharted territories here. [/quote]

From the transcripts to the podcasts; podcasts are linked here:  [url]https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/podcasts-webinars[/url]

This is a nationally recognized epidemiologist specializing in influenza viruses saying that current effects on children seen from Delta far exceed what you see from a flu and who presided over an arm of the NIH during H1N1 in the aughts and 2010s.  So please stop comparing this to those things.  This ain't that.
[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics