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[quote=Anonymous]It looks like the Russian military is at a bifurcation point.  Deployment of the 25th CAA is a significant development on several levels.

"Russia has deployed a new military formation of about 15,000 soldiers to fight around Bakhmut."
"The Russians recently redeployed their only reserve force - the 25th Army - which was just recently raised and hasn't completed its creation,"
"The 25th Combined Arms Army was created this summer, in a rare move for the Russian military"
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russian-army-15-000-soldiers-145402713.html

This was probably organized initially as a attack / counterattack spearhead force, but instead has been prematurely called up to the front-lines as Reserves.  To put this into perspective, a functional military unit would utilize replacement troops, versus constructing a new "Army" from scratch.  The Russian Army is counting on purely 'ethnic ties' (Buryatia and Irkutsk) to pull the 25th together.  However, without a "unit history" of working together in direct combat to exercise processes and procedures to ensure logistics are sustained; it's not only risky creating a new unit, but even more risky to deploy the formation as a Reserve force prior to full strength.  This new unit would, most likely, be shredded within a few weeks.

However, on another level, this move indicates at least four things. 1. the level of desperation that Russia lacks viable reserve combat ground forces; 2. the level of confidence Russia has in the ability of existing front-line units to continue to be combat effective; 3. the current Ukrainian tactics are effective; and 4. that they are concerned that once new Russian troops learn the truth about the Ukraine War from veterans, that their 'institutional knowledge' will spread.  I believe Putin and the Kremlin consider their own front-line veterans as internal security risks.  I believe this is also why Russia refuses to rotate front-line troops.  The Russian Government is still trying to 'build a propaganda bubble' around the Russian population.  Once Russian combat veterans learn their own children are being prepared for front-line duty and endless war, I believe they'll likely turn against the Kremlin.  e.g. What good is a million Roubles if there is no family left to enjoy the fruits of their sacrifice?

"In August, President Vladimir Putin signed a law introducing a new mandatory course in schools: “Fundamentals of Security and Defense of the Motherland.”"
"The Education Ministry subsequently promoted courses as part of this initiative to include excursions to military units, “military-sports games, meetings with military personnel and veterans,” and classes on drones."
"High-school students would also be taught to use live ammunition “under the guidance of experienced military unit officers or instructors exclusively at the firing line,” according to the ministry."
"The program, which is being tested this year and will be introduced in 2024, is designed to instill in the students “an understanding and acceptance of the aesthetics of military uniforms, military rituals and combat traditions,” according to an Education Ministry document"
"The book appears designed to stoke a sense of historical grievance among Russian children and lay out an existential battle for the nation’s survival, a common theme in the state media pumped daily into living rooms across the country."
"children as young as seven or eight are receiving basic military training."
"In July, for example, children in Belgorod gave themselves call-signs – one adopted “Sledgehammer” – and took part in exercises that included the use of automatic weapons, assembling a machine gun and getting through an obstacle course."
https://www.yahoo.com/news/playgrounds-parade-grounds-russian-schools-042024326.html[/quote]

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