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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]https://dc.citycast.fm/dc-politics/dc-election-mayor-poll-2026

City Cast put out some fascinating data that is exactly what I was expecting. JLG voters are typically young, White, wealthy transplants and McDuffie has the edge on Black voters and the elderly, and lower income voters.[/quote]

The polling results make sense to me for a few reasons.

Older residents who already own homes in DC are less concerned about making housing and raising a family more affordable. And those older residents are primarily going to be older Black native Washingtonians who already own homes and Gen X/Boomer white people who are either natives or bought homes when they were still affordable to people on normal salaries. Those people are less likely to be pulled toward someone like Janeese Lewis George who is running on more of a hope/change/affordability platform.

Also, McDuffie’s campaign has made transplants their boogeyman. They talk about transplants like rich summer interns, not normal people who have now lived here for decades and call DC home. It doesn’t surprise me that these residents aren’t coming out en masse to support McDuffie.

Mostly though, I think this is simply a generational thing. Of course most transplants are younger — they are the product of the Tony Williams plan. Most came here in their early 20s to work, and now 20 years later, this is their home and they can barely afford to live and raise kids here, even if they make $100K+ and especially if the status quo remains…and McDuffie is running as the status quo candidate. Also, younger people (millennials and Gen Z) are just not as easily scared by the term democratic socialist. We like things like public schools, libraries, and roads without potholes and realize those things are “socialist.”

That’s all I think the polling reveals:

McDuffie’s base is older residents who are worried about change, not seeking change.

Lewis George’s base is younger people (but many now in middle age) who love DC but can’t really afford DC.[/quote]

DP, but: no.  I'm not afraid of democratic socialism.  I'm afraid of street crime and there's a lot of it and it's getting worse.  I'm afraid of gangs of feral youth who quite rightly have no fear of repercussions when they're out criming.  I care about not having tent cities on every bit of parkland, including public playgrounds.  JLG not only doesn't care about QOL issues, she thinks that if you [i]do [/i]care about them you're morally suspect.  She seems to genuinely believe that the entire problem of crime in DC can be solved by community centers, which is kind of a sweet argument to make when you're 17 but fundamentally wrong w/r/t to human nature.  Any time a crime happens in Ward 4 she immediately explains why it wasn't the criminal's fault.

I also think she'd be very hamfisted in any dealings with the current Administration, but fingers crossed we're only one Big Mac away from that not being an issue any more.

McDuffie is much more interested in the lobbying gig he wants after his mayorship than making some grand experiment out of the District, which to be fair is disappointing, just in a predictable way.  But I voted for JLG the first time because I didn't want "more of the same" with Brandon Todd and I deeply regret that vote, even though Todd was an uninspiring, self-serving turd.

Maybe ranked-choice voting and Rini Sampath will surprise us all.[/quote]

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