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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]https://dc.citycast.fm/dc-politics/dc-election-mayor-poll-2026

City Cast put out some fascinating data that is exactly what I was expecting. JLG voters are typically young, White, wealthy transplants and McDuffie has the edge on Black voters and the elderly, and lower income voters.[/quote]

The polling results make sense to me for a few reasons.

Older residents who already own homes in DC are less concerned about making housing and raising a family more affordable. And those older residents are primarily going to be older Black native Washingtonians who already own homes and Gen X/Boomer white people who are either natives or bought homes when they were still affordable to people on normal salaries. Those people are less likely to be pulled toward someone like Janeese Lewis George who is running on more of a hope/change/affordability platform.

Also, McDuffie’s campaign has made transplants their boogeyman. They talk about transplants like rich summer interns, not normal people who have now lived here for decades and call DC home. It doesn’t surprise me that these residents aren’t coming out en masse to support McDuffie.

Mostly though, I think this is simply a generational thing. Of course most transplants are younger — they are the product of the Tony Williams plan. Most came here in their early 20s to work, and now 20 years later, this is their home and they can barely afford to live and raise kids here, even if they make $100K+ and especially if the status quo remains…and McDuffie is running as the status quo candidate. Also, younger people (millennials and Gen Z) are just not as easily scared by the term democratic socialist. We like things like public schools, libraries, and roads without potholes and realize those things are “socialist.”

That’s all I think the polling reveals:

McDuffie’s base is older residents who are worried about change, not seeking change.

Lewis George’s base is younger people (but many now in middle age) who love DC but can’t really afford DC.[/quote]

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