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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][twitter]https://x.com/jamiedupree/status/1790568086443012508?s=46&t=kf1qYlCXQnKgUhJWEIu2vg[/twitter][/quote]

Yikes.  That's pretty bad for Hogan to lose 30% of the vote to that Robin Ficker of all people.  Seems like Hogan is not as popular as people think he is.  [/quote]

Have you looked at Ficker’s positions?  He’s way to the right of Hogan. The people who voted for him will vote for Hogan in the general election. [/quote]
Did these people not see Fickers ads? He went full MAGA. None of those folks will refuse to vote for Hogan in the general election. [/quote]
MAGAs hate Hogan and may not actually vote for him in the general.[/quote]

As between Hogan and Alsobrooks the MAGA’s and other GOP will vote for Hogan, without exception. [/quote]

MAGAs won't vote for Hogan unless he bends the knee before Trump and receives his endorsement.

If he does that, any right minded conservative or independent will vote for Alsobrooks.
[b]If he doesn't do that, the MAGAs stay home. [/b]

See the problem he and other traditional conservsiives have?[/quote]

If the MAGAs stay home, Larry still wins.

They called him a RINO in 2018 and he still got 55% of the vote.  All this will still be red, whether or not MAGA turns out (even though I think they will)

[img]https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/92/2018_Maryland_gubernatorial_election_results_map_by_congressional_district.svg/300px-2018_Maryland_gubernatorial_election_results_map_by_congressional_district.svg.png[/img][/quote]

You seem to be confused between 2018 and 2024.

In 2024, there are a lot of issues that were not present during his 2014 and 2018 runs for governor.  And senator and governor are two completely different races and his governor's races are not necessarily indicative of his success in a senate race.

The overturn of Roe v Wade and the attacks on women's rights in the last 2 years have increased turnout of the 18-35 and suburban women votes.  These are two groups who typically have low voter turnout, but have increased turnout in the last two years whenever anything that touches on these rights is on the ballot.  Alsobrooks has been making abortion rights a platform issue and will be drawing those groups out in higher than traditional numbers.  These groups tend to vote significantly (usually 60-85%) in favor of abortion rights.

The last few years have shown how much the US Senate has changed the political landscape, from judicial appointments including SCOTUS to federal funding to federal legislation.  The two parties are less likely to work bipartisanly and bicamerally than ever before, so the party in power wields a lot more control.  MD has not elected a Republican Senator in nearly 50 years and with the states as high as they are, it is unlikely that they will do so now, regardless of how popular Hogan is/was.  Hogan has said that he will caucus with the Republicans and that will influence many of the people who have voted for him in the past.  As a governor, the legislature serves as a check and balance.  As a Senator, there is no checks and balance.  Each Senator is a vote for their party and there are not enough people in MD that will vote to allow Republicans to take control of the Senate.[/quote]

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