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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][twitter]https://twitter.com/aaronblake/status/1584886360728633344?s=61&t=s5lKdsMpLpdMfPV8q5JXJw[/twitter][/quote]

[quote]Oz now has a 53% chance of winning the race compared to Fetterman at 47%, according to Decision Desk HQ’s forecasting model. Just over two weeks ago, the same model showed Fetterman with a 70% chance of winning and Oz with a 30% chance.

The shift in odds toward the former TV personality and retired heart surgeon is the result of two polls released this week.

Among 750 likely voters, 47.5% said they would vote for Oz if the election were held today, compared to 44.8% who said the same for Fetterman, according to a new Insider Advantage poll. Independents broke overwhelmingly for Oz, with 65.9% supporting the former TV personality versus 22.5% for Fetterman.

About 3.6% of respondents said they were undecided.

A separate survey of 1,000 likely voters from Wick Insights saw a similar margin in Oz’s favor: 47.6% of respondents said they would vote for Oz if the election were held today, versus 45.9% who would choose Fetterman. In that poll, 3% of those surveyed said they were undecided.

The latest polls are the first indication that Fetterman’s performance at Tuesday’s debate may be weighing on the minds of voters. The Democratic candidate, who suffered a stroke back in May, struggled to articulate his policy positions and sounded incoherent at times.[/quote]

https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/elections-2022/pennsylvania-2022-midterm-election/new-polls-show-oz-leading-fetterman-after-pennsylvania-debate/
[/quote]
AGAIN, the voter sample in that Insider Advantage poll doesn’t reflect reality. But it gets thrown into the average with a bunch of other polls anyway.
[twitter]https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1585740344083197952?s=61&t=jurG0oB8KalB80SfKYN5fg[/twitter]
And Wick’s previous poll before the debate was Oz +4, so the current Oz +2 is not a great sign for Oz.
[twitter]https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1583621917344690176?s=61&t=jurG0oB8KalB80SfKYN5fg[/twitter][/quote]

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