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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Not sure if you all remember the discussion about Russian republics about six months ago on this thread?  The situation in both Chechnya and Belarus are already fragile.  Now there's a possibility of a hot-war developing between Amenia and Azerbaijan?  Imagine the nightmare for the Kremlin if one or more new battlefronts open up within the neighboring Republics?  Where will the pro-Kremlin supporters get ammo?  Supplies?  If left to fend for themselves, the Republics themselves could be weakened or even overthrown.

However, there is one Joker in the deck.  Look at the last article.  Will Belarus be used as a 'nuclear proxy' to launch from and keep Russian territory clean if tactical nukes fly?

"Azerbaijani forces using Russian-style symbols are massing on the border of Armenia"
“If Russia doesn’t protect you, what is the utility of the relationship?”
"Israel, Turkey is an ally of Azerbaijan"
"Since December, Azerbaijan has blocked the Lachin corridor, first using civilian environmental protesters and then installing a blockade that stops even aid convoys from reaching the city of Stepanakert, all overseen by watching and impassive Russian soldiers."
"Roughly 120,000 ethnic Armenians live on this mountain plateau, in and around Stepanakert, which is now cut off."
“There hasn’t been bread for three days,” she said by telephone. “When I walk through the streets I hear children begging their mothers for food and their mothers crying because they have no answers.”
"Stepanakert’s stores are bare and there is no coffee, tea or tobacco. Farmers carry basic produce to market on foot or by donkey and cart."
https://www.yahoo.com/news/azerbaijani-forces-using-russian-style-154246922.html

"Kadyrov’s health appeared to deteriorate in recent days. Obozrevatel reported earlier this week that Kadyrov went into a coma and was flown to Moscow to seek treatment"
https://www.yahoo.com/news/putin-attack-dog-kadyrov-reportedly-172212726.html

"Days before ruthless Chechnyan warlord and Putin ally Ramzan Kadyrov was reportedly hospitalized in a coma, he was accused of burying his personal doctor alive in retaliation for trying to poison him."
https://nypost.com/2023/09/16/chechen-warlord-said-to-bury-his-doctor-alive-before-coma/

https://worldcrunch.com/focus/belarussian-russian-passports

"At least 5 trains suspected of transporting Russian nuclear warheads (or associated parts/components/equipment) have recently arrived in Belarus, to Baranovichi-Polesskiye and Luninets stations. 3 trains are expected to Prudok in October/November"
https://belarus.liveuamap.com/en/2023/12-september-at-least-5-trains-suspected-of-transporting[/quote]

Armenia and Azerbaijan are not Russian republics.

I note that the world has paid zero attention to the siege of ethnic Armenians in Artsakh.  It has also not as much as wagged a finger at the filthy dictator Ilham Aliyev, who continues to find a warm welcome in the US, Europe and Israel.   Get ready for the Armenian genocide version 2.0 as the world looks away.  Aliyev has made zero secret of his intentions to swallow Armenia whole.  But if you are the West's favorite dictator, that sort of thing is allowed.  [/quote]

No, they're not.  These things have a way of "spilling over" and that would draw resources away from Ukraine (or Russia can just cede more territory?)  [/quote]

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