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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Consolidated VA Elections Thread"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Someone asked about reputable pollsters. I follow quite a few. Check out Frank Luntz. He’s nationally known pollster. He said yesterday, based on historical data, 80% prediction for Youngkin. I about fell out of my chair. You can see a video of the comment on his Twitter (he posted it yesterday afternoon). He can explain his reasoning/analysis better than I can explain it here.[/quote] This is copied from his tweet: “ I told @TeamCavuto this afternoon that @GlennYoungkin has an 80% chance of winning next week’s gubernatorial race in Virginia.”[/quote] That was me - anyone giving hourly or multiple times a day updates on where they see things going? Luntz's video was great, thanks! Explains how with Youngkin gains every day why FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics placed in the lead today. The margin will be even higher tomorrow. [twitter]https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1454199556531384321[/twitter][/quote] Polls far out away do not have any relevance to the election results. Polls close to the election, what's the point of following them? You can just wait until the election, and maybe instead of following the polls, volunteer for the candidate you support and help him win.[/quote] No thanks - I'm an armchair quarterback sort of person. And I follow them for the same reason McAuliffe and Youngkin's teams are absolutely glued to polls and GOTV numbers right now. Its a predictor and seals an election - especially the closer we get and more data comes in. Right now a million votes have already been cast that cannot be taken back. A million more between now and booths closing on Tuesday.[/quote]
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