Reply to A thread of optimism: why do you think Trump will win in 2020?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]No POC will vote for t-Rump in 2020.  Same goes for women.[/quote]

OMG, are you this out of touch??  I’m a woman who will be voting for Trump in 2020 and the vast majority of my female friends - some of them even minorities (gasp!) - have said they will be too.  Your wishful thinking is getting you nowhere.[/quote]

Yay! one woman and a bunch of her stories make a great statistics. But thats not the case in 2018 and the average of polls has him at less than 43%.[/quote]

Keep on living in your bubble with your meaningless polls.  They've served you so well in the past.[/quote]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Just play with his approval interface. You see it hits 43% and it goes down, again and again. So he has a ceiling of 43% but he also has a floor of 37%. So his "poorly educated" base returns his love and won't convict him even if he shot someone on 5th avenue.

But 43% isn't gonna win him the 2020 election. more than 50% swear they won't vote for him. Thats a big problem.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/441103-poll-55-say-they-wouldnt-vote-for-trump-in-2020[/quote]

PP, Many trumpsters here don't like any stats, polls, numbers, probability. None of that is equal to their biased hunch. Let them be. :lol: [/quote]

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