Reply to APS Elementary Location Working Group 4/12

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

So here are raw numbers.
The MAJORITY of ASFS (500+/650) are from the key zone because that was the mainstream curriculum option— it was their neighborhood school.  There are 200 transfers into asfs that are mostly from Taylor (the majority of which are not within any form of its walk zone, these kids are being bused in), which is why the school is over capacity.  Taylor is only 103% at capacity, whereas asfs is 125%. If the transfers were sent home, the school would be at or under capacity.  There are 10 buses to the school.
The majority of kids at the key school are not from the key zone.  Only 1/3 to 1/2 of the school lives in the key zone, and even less of that within the walk zone.  There are 12 buses to the school.
[b]If you make a boundary around asfs, in order to connect it to the existing key boundary so you have some existing kids still at the school, you have to rezone 300+ kids from Taylor. [/b] Someone can check my math, but that’s over half of Taylor.   Since the asfs walk zone is small, there will still be 8 buses to the school.  And there will still be 12 buses going to key because it’s population won’t change.
If you make key into a neighborhood school, and move an option program to asfs, you have 10 buses going to asfs and significantly fewer buses going to key (I think something like 2-3).  It is much more efficient.  And you get to preserve the existing key, asfs, and Taylor communities.
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This is such an important part of the puzzle. There is no status quo choice for ASFS. If there are no changes in the site for Key, Key Immersion is the only school that experiences any kind of status quo, though they will lose walkers due to the lack of neighborhood preference. At a minimum to create the walk zone for ASFS and connect to Key zone, you need to move the following from Taylor:

Walk zone: PU 23170 - 68 students, PU 23190 - 33 students
Land bridge to Key Zone: PU 23200 - 26 Students, PU 23210 - 50 Students, PU 23211 - 11 Students
Technically could leave to Taylor but people would be really salty about it - PU 23180 - 46 Students

So either 188 bare minimum to connect or 234 to not leave 23180 randomly disconnected. We kick out the transfers from zones other than Key - that's 143 on the latest transfer report. Then add in 188 bare minimum to connect.

Current enrollment 678 less 143 back to home zones plus 188 to connect zone = 723. With 553 permanent seats that leaves the building at 130.74% utilization. Realistically PU 23180 is going to scream until they are added, so that brings us to 723 plus 46 = 769, or 139% utilization. This is before accounting for growth in the school age population in the area or the effect of Key zone losing neighborhood preference to immersion. End result - some of Key Zone gets zoned to Taylor. Naturally it would be the ones furthest from ASFS. The fact that they are 3+ miles from Taylor is irrelevant, there is no where else to go. Either way the current communities at ASFS and Taylor see big changes and we have more bus miles than ever.

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