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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I've actually been paying very close attention.  [b]Michigan is a safety for some students but, increasingly, those students are deferred and admitted RD rather than EA.[/b]  In the end, stats win out for full pay OOS, but perhaps only if the applicant is still sticking around (a kind of demonstration of interest).  This phenomenon hasn't hit DC's school yet (qualified kids still get EA acceptances), but I know it's out there.[/quote]

You're contradicting yourself.  A "safety" is a sure thing, not a potential deferral.  You're obviously new to the process. [/quote]

No, you're being dogmatic and not thinking contextually or looking at this as a two-stage process.  Empirically, high stats (full pay OOS private school?) kids applying SCEA to a win-the-lottery type private university may also apply EA to Michigan.  If said kid hears in late December that s/he is admitted to Michigan (as a number from my DC's school routinely do), then Michigan is the kid's safety.   If the kid gets into their true first choice (the SCEA school), game over.  If the kid is rejected or deferred by the SCEA school, the kid feels safe applying only to other dream schools, secure in the knowledge that s/he has been admitted to Michigan.  So the "worst case" scenario is pretty great and there's no downside to rolling the dice a few more times on extreme long shots rather than applying to more/different safeties.

Conversely, if the kid is deferred or rejected by the SCEA school and deferred by Michigan, the kid can then apply to safer safeties.  Although, even then, with the right scores and transcript, an admission to Michigan in the RD process remains quite likely, especially for a full pay OOS applicant.  Between budget cuts, court cases, and large class sizes, Michigan's admissions process is much more predictable (and in that sense safer for some candidates) than private schools that attract students with similarly great stats.  But that predictability is (arguably/increasingly) at the RD stage than the EA stage.  OTOH, that's often when kids hear from their safeties and most kids apply to more than one safety for that reason.[/quote]

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