Reply to Do you think that the Mundo Verde's demographics will change because of the move?

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Reply to "Do you think that the Mundo Verde's demographics will change because of the move?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Really tough to call this one. My money is on:

1) a lot of current families will stay through the move, because they like the school and have grown attached to it. Some small number will leave due to the move (they will either lottery into another charter closer to home, lottery into DCPS, or go DCPS if they have a good IB option).

2) for new families entering PK3, a lot of Mt Pleasant families will choose Bancroft or DC bilingual instead. (Same goes for Creative Minds, when it moves next year)

3) CoHi, Crestwood, Petworth, AdMo families may continue to choose MV or may begin to prefer IB options. It depends how they evaluate their IB options and also DC bilingual or LAMB vs MV. I suspect Powell will get a lot of attention, maybe Tubman too? HD Cooke also seems to be getting more interest.

4) WOTP families will choose MV less and less - that is a long and bad commute.

5) latino population will drop steadily at MV because DC is only 10% latino whereas CoHi, Mt Pleasant is 25% latino (approx?). MV is moving from the single highest concentration of latinos in the District to one of the lowest. [b]Latino population of Bloomingdale was zero in the 2010 census, I believe. [/b]I know that's just one of the neighborhoods.

6) too close to call on white versus African American demographics or wealthy vs FARMS because both MV's old location and its new location have lots of both (black and white, rich and poor)

My main assumption underpinning all of this is that location does matter to a lot of parents for ES but it's not absolute. So overall, over time, I expect gradually fewer Crestwood/Mt Pleasant/Co Hi parents and gradually more from near the new location.

[/quote]

Bloomingdale demographics have changed quite dramatically since the 2010 census even though it's only been 4 years.  I personally know several Latino families in Bloomingdale so it's certainly not "zero".[/quote]

I'm the PP to whom you're responding. Sure, fair point, not zero, but not very many at all, and many fewer than Mt Pleasant / Columbia Heights / Petworth / Adams Morgan in both absolute and relative terms.

This thread has unfortunately descended into a flame-war, which is too bad, because the title of the thread remains an interesting question. Mundo Verde is a bilingual program. It is currently 45% hispanic. What will happen to that number following the move?

I predict that number will steadily drop over the years, unless MV institutes some kind of dual lottery like Oyster (can charters do that?).

When they were situated right in the middle of the largest concentration of latinos in the District, they went to 45%. Now that they are moving to one of the lower concentrations, you would expect that number to fall, because there is a limit to how far most families can travel for preschool and elementary school, and the overall hispanic percentage of the DC school population is around 13%. There seem to be many on DCUM who are willing and able to drive long distances for PK3. I would be curious to see how often that is observed among latino families in the district.

Yes, I am using hispanic and latino interchangeably here which is wrong from a census perspective but I think they overlap reasonably well in DC. Apologies to all you non-latino hispanics.

[/quote]

OP here, sigh, finally someone has gotten back to the central question, which is, what does the move mean for the demographics?  Anyway, I am signing off here because I am sure my posting will only generate more over the top assumptions that will have nothing to do with the first question.  I am done being entertained for the day.[/quote]

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