Reply to HARDY: Anyone know how many feeder school kids attending next yr?

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Reply to "HARDY: Anyone know how many feeder school kids attending next yr?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I haven't manufactured anything. The entire thread is premised on eliminating OOB students from the school.

I went back and skimmed again but, nope, no other factors were considered for its trajectory.  
[/quote]

Well, PP, if the plan is to make Hardy a neighborhood school, then there will be no room for OOB kids, except for those who come from feeder schools.

Here is the enrollment data for 3rd to 5th grade at the five Hardy feeders from the 2012-2013 enrollment audit:

Eaton        61   77   43
Hyde         47   45   32
Key           60   55   29
Mann        40   36   24
Stoddert   47   44   34
               255 257 162

Note the drop in enrollment from 4th to 5th grade at Hardy feeders as families flee for charters and privates.  A Hardy turn-around would mean that the majority of those 257 4th graders would stay at their schools for 5th grade and move on to Hardy for 6th grade.

The same enrollment audit show the following for 6th, 7th and 8th for Hardy that year:

Hardy     131  129  144 (404 total)

There's little reason for Hardy to be under-enrolled since it is majority OOB, so let's suppose that the capacity at Hardy is 135 students per grade.

So, even if only a little more than half of the 257 4th graders at Hardy feeders enroll in Hardy two years later, they will fill the school to capacity.  If significantly more than half of those 4th graders enroll, Hardy will be so over-enrolled that the Filmore Arts Center will have to find a new home or part of the sports field will be used for trailers.

A Hardy turn-around implies eliminating OOB kids.  
[/quote]

Eaton feeds into Deal, not Hardy, and it loses virtually the same percentage of children after 4th grade as Mann (feeding into Hardy) does. [/quote]

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