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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote]The numbers are nowhere near right. Neither 12 out of the original 40 (30% of the 4th grade), nor 18 out of 60 (30% of the number by 8th grade) leave before Upper School. Again, there is not a lot of attrition most years, but the numbers are small enough that it can vary by year. Nevertheless, this suggests that there are a lot of ninth grade openings and aside from the normal 9th grade expansion with 20 admits to about 75-80, there are not a lot of extra slots from droves of eighth graders going elsewhere.

Given that we both agree there's not a lot of counseling out, I guess it doesn't really matter that we disagree on the extent of attrition. (And if potential families are very interested they can get specifics from the STA Admissions office.) [/quote]

If 3 leave after 4th grade they fill the slots the next year - they do not wait until 8th grade.

3 in 4th, 3 in 5th, 3 in 6th, 3 in 7th, more like 8 in 8th. So that is 20 leave sometime from 4th to 8th grade. There are the 20 spots of growth plus the 8 that leave for other opportunities in 8th grade, so yes there are 20-28 spots open for 9th grade, some years it is 23 but next year it is more like 28.

[b]Look at the current 8th grade - how many of those kids were there in 4th grade. about 32[/b], 20% have left. The 7th grade class has higher numbers that have left. [/quote]

Under your own argument, if 3 kids leave per year, by the end of 7th grade that would be 12 kids leaving (4 years x 3 per year = 12 students).  That's not the case (even you say there are 32 out of 40 original C formers there).  And generally eight students do NOT leave after eighth grade either -- it can be that high but normally it is much lower.  The class is about 60 in 8th grade and they admit 20-25 new students for ninth grade to expand the class to 80-85 as it enters high school.

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