Reply to Lottery lists: What's best now, or look ahead?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Euclid middle school should be successful if people at the feeders are willing to give it a try.[/quote]

Do you think it is still needed? All signs seem to point to the DC population shrinking. And Francis seems to have the capacity right now for Ross, Thompson, Seaton, Garrion, Cleveland. [/quote]

I do think it's needed, because the Cardozo building is pretty full. We'll see next time the Master Facilities Plan is published, but I think Wells middle is pretty full too. Not that Wells is super close by, but all these things are interconnected. Stuart-Hobson is getting more popular too. Some charters may fail this year and next (SSMA, Rocketship), and that will mean DCPS picks up some of the population. None of the soon-to-fails are super close to the Shaw area, but these things have an impact on the whole system. [/quote]

The 2024 MFP came out in September 2025. The total enrollment projection is to shrink but not by that much. The real shrinkage comes from birth rates, which obviously won't affect middle school enrollment for a while. There's a table of facility utilization-- while it's true that many schools are massively under-utilized, there are others above 100% such as Bancroft, Barnard, and Brightwood. Importantly, CHEC is at 98.7% utilization, and that's one of the middle schools nearest to Cardozo/Euclid. Coolidge is at 127%, wow. Garrison 99.7%, Wells 115%, Oyster-Adams 117%. So yes, I do think that the new school is needed. Just because enrollment is pretty high at the schools nearest the Euclid building, even as it's declining system-wide.

https://dme.dc.gov/publication/2024-master-facilities-plan-supplement[/quote]

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