Reply to Does anyone else believe the impending financial crash will be bigger than 2008-2009?

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Reply to "Does anyone else believe the impending financial crash will be bigger than 2008-2009?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The markets are informationally efficient, meaning stock prices already reflect all available information about economic conditions and future risks, including those that are the subject of OP's rant.  PP's belief that they know more than all the markets is delusional. [/quote]

Ah yes, tut tut good sir! One should never try to predict the future based on trends and historical events! All is well and the market shall move on! Any talks of stagflation and recessions are the musings of unworthy peasants! You will buy VOO and shut your mouth! You dare not deviate from the land of the bulls![/quote]

The risks of future stagflation and recessions are factored into current market prices. You don't know more than the market. [/quote]

How about measuring the economy by the lifestyle of people currently earning minimum wage of $7.25 per hour before tax? The slightest fluctuation in grocery and gas prices is devastating.[/quote]

That may be true - but it’s been true for a long time.  Inflation was horrible in the aftermath of Covid and gas prices spike all the time.  The S&P 500 has continued to
rise over the long term.  You’re blinded by political emotions and local conditions associated with federal government cuts.[/quote]

“Political emotions” lol.

So any concerns voiced here are coming from TDS libs who are sad about Feds lost their jobs and stuff?

Okay, buddy. I’m still buying gold ETFs, some tripled leveraged just for fun, let’s see where we are in a year. We could be at 2x SPY or we could be in the economic doldrums or worse. I’m guessing inflation keeps ticking up and gold keeps rising.[/quote]

In short - if you are advocating for market timing, investing in gold, or shorting the S&P 500 - yes, obviously.  You are ignoring all historical data and think that the era we live in is unprecedented when in reality every era is unprecedented for one reason or another.  Your emotions are getting the best of you and you should realize it.  Dollar cost averaging into a broad based S&P index fund and appropriately shifting funds as you near retirement is the clear path. Same as always.[/quote]

And you are ignoring both parallels to the onset of the Great Depression, coupled with…America decoupling and choosing “America first” which really equates to America alone. The world is  forging to new trade routes.

Look at China, Russia and India joining in cooperation. Look as tariffs are Willy nilly turned on and off as a cudgel. Look at inflation rises and gold skyrockets. The world sees us as bipolar and is quietly turning away. The days of just “buy the S&P” and forget about it. don’t bet against it. It’s doubtful that will always be the case.

We are repeating poorly learned history lessons. Nationalizing companies and penalizing trading partners. You honestly must not get out of the Fox News bubble to see unwelcome developments. But you will see when your portfolio of domestic stocks doesn’t go back to highs you feel are expected.[/quote]

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