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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

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I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different  t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple. 
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..[/quote]

I think the work will just change, just like it changed in the 80s (high level languages) and 2000s (code generation tools).

Compared to three years ago, I can produce working code at about 4x the rate, but I'm in more demand than ever.  The reason is that I'm productive.

If you have shallow skills, you'll have a hard time but the demand for people that can take business requirements and turn them into working solutions isn't going anywhere for a while.  They will just build more complex systems, with fewer people.  Arguing that programmers (and other types of technical workers) will go away is arguing that complexity will go away.

That being said, openings for junior level folks will be more rare, but this has happened in the past - just ask anyone that was job hunting in the bay area after the dot-com bust.

Another argument for the field - someone has to build all of these agentic AI systems and integrate them into business processes.  That's going to be a mountain of work and I'd submit that a CS major is pretty well suited for the task.

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