Toggle navigation
Toggle navigation
Home
DCUM Forums
Nanny Forums
Events
About DCUM
Advertising
Search
Recent Topics
Hottest Topics
FAQs and Guidelines
Privacy Policy
Your current identity is: Anonymous
Login
Preview
Subject:
Forum Index
»
College and University Discussion
Reply to "Assuming they are all independent separate events, the probability of receiving at least one acceptance is 33% if you ap"
Subject:
Emoticons
More smilies
Text Color:
Default
Dark Red
Red
Orange
Brown
Yellow
Green
Olive
Cyan
Blue
Dark Blue
Violet
White
Black
Font:
Very Small
Small
Normal
Big
Giant
Close Marks
[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Two or three of you in this topic understand both the math and social science aspects of probability estimates. If you guys had usernames, I'd single you out.[/quote] This one (04/06/2025 06:00) correctly highlighted the difference between dependent and independent events. But I have not seen anyone point out the fact that game theory cannot work because the people in the selection pool do not have equal chances of being selected. Applications are read and the selection of any candidate for any particular school is a curated event. Selection is deterministic based on the reading of an application; [b]it is not random[/b]. Game theory does not work in this instance.[/quote] Yes, I feel like this is what OP is missing. OP’s math only works if admissions are all random lotteries of applicants. [/quote]
Options
Disable HTML in this message
Disable BB Code in this message
Disable smilies in this message
Review message
Search
Recent Topics
Hottest Topics
