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[quote=Anonymous]The longer it takes to make landfall the better as it avoids the hightide of 2p and the stronger the odds are the cold front/shear impacts the hurricane to diminish its strength.  The more north it hits, the better for Tampa and the more southern, the more surge for them.  I don't know that it really matters where it hits however in that there will definitely be a surge there and the N is where Helene had made more impact so for them it's a bit more sad it's 2x hurricane.

I have a feeling it will not be as bad I don't know why. I've had a feeling since yesterday that the shear and cold front will quickly diminish this from a cat 4 to a 2 or even 1 because shear completely destroys the rotating force of a hurricane.  It doesn't wipe out surge but the lowering of the winds will do a lot to help things.  I just get a feeling that it won't be as bad as everyone thinks it will be and I also have a feeling that Tampa will get lucky again in not being hit directly by this.  I just think that it peaked last night as a cat 5 with 899.   The rest of the way up it will meet a lot of factors that isn't helping it maintain/grow.[/quote]

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