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Reply to "Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Political Science has long had physics envy. But political science cannot quantify all the variables in the human and historical experience. Weird shit happens at odd times. And there’s no formula for that. I think Harris will win. And I can point to data in Michigan or Wisconsin or wherever and it all seems logical. And then Pearl Harbor happens. Or Kennedy gets assassinated. Or 9/11 happens. And your little PhD models are useless. Because human beings remain unpredictable The best we can manage are patterns, not predictions [/quote] In 2020, the Washington Post said Biden was up 17 percent in Wisconsin and New York Times put the figure at 11 percent. The actual margin was 0.6 percent! So much for polls.[/quote] You think Allan Lichtman represents a poll? [/quote]
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