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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]You can look at enrollment pathways for kids in Capitol Hill elementary schools between 4th grade and 5th grade. It gives you an idea, but still doesn't show how sibling preference influences those pathways. This is also data from 2021-2022 and it seems like it's gotten even more competitive to get into the Latins or Basis since then?

https://edscape.dc.gov/page/student-enrollment-pathways

[/quote]

It's much, much harder to get into Latin Cooper. I'm not sure it's harder to get into BASIS.[/quote]

Taking a couple examples:

Brent:
Out of at least 71 4th graders in 2021-2022 (can't tell exactly how many there were from this chart):
-13 went to Latin PCS
-11 went to Latin Cooper
-10 went to Basis

Presumably some of these had sibling preference so odds are lower than they seem, plus this was a few years ago so odds are even worse now.

I tried to pull Maury numbers but it was &lt;10 4th graders for each individual school (Latin PCS, Cooper, or Basis) so can't really calculate[/quote]

You could ballpark the number of kids with sibling preference by looking at what percentage of kids accepted to the school are siblings, in total.[/quote]

3 years is a lot of time in DCPS/MySchool/lottery world, So I think that data is only sort of helpful until they update it, which I think they are supposed to do this year.

I agree with prior posters saying that it is hard to make any clear conclusions with that data.  And even if we had accurate information about how many kids went from each school to various middle schools, we don't know the denominator because I don't think they publish how many's kids per school enter the lottery in the first place.

If you read this forum or talk to enough people, I think you would find that demand for and enrollment in middle schools has changed in all direction the past 3 years. I would imagine some select charters have gotten increasingly difficult to get into, but there have also been increasing numbers of students going to other schools (DCPS or charter) in those years as well. Add to that the decreased enrollment in a few like 2 Rivers that may or may not rebound. In the span of that 3 years I know many peers of ours with kids in middle school and 4th who did not do lottery at all, and the number of parents in that boat seems to be larger than it may have been in the past.

All that to say, learn about the schools, talk to folks there and make decisions based on that instead of assuming prior data will apply to whenever you do the lottery.[/quote]

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