Reply to DCI Feeder Lottery and Sibling Preference

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Reply to "DCI Feeder Lottery and Sibling Preference"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Here is the data from the waitlist of your chances of matching on result day if you are not in DCI feeder

Basis - 30%
Latin - 12%
DCI Chinese - 4% 
DCI French - less then 1%
DCI Spanish - 1%

Waitlist movement after match day will increase those numbers, but I think it’s incremental and not anything significant.

Lastly there is 10 French feeder students on the DCI waitlist who are the top 10 numbers so if French waitlist is moving then these are the students getting in first.

Summary:

Of 3 schools, best chance to get into any of the 3 is from DCI feeder into DCI

Getting into DCI as a non-feeder is basically 0 starting next year due to multiple feeder school’s expansion.  The feeder kids will get all the seats not filled by any of the feeder schools.

Lastly, every year those percentages will go down as more families need seats and play the lottery. [/quote]

Historically, waitlist movement makes a huge difference to your chances at some of these schools.

Look at SY23-24:

BASIS - 67% offered (44% on match day)
Latin I - 21% offered (18% on match day)
Latin II - 42% offered (25% on match day)
DCI Chinese - 24% offered (0% on match day)
DCI French - 21% offered (19% on match day)
DCI Spanish - 5% offered (0% on match day)[/quote]

These Latins and Basis numbers don't account for siblings. Latin I may be 21% overall, but half have preference so the real odds for non-siblings/staff is closer to 10%. I also agree that Latin II will be closer to Latin I's 10-20% overall within another year or two. And BASIS is a hard one - my older DC would not be a good BASIS student, but what happens if we pass on a BASIS seat for fifth then strike out for DCI in sixth??

Anyways, I think it really just comes down to individual families' risk tolerance. We are not an easily portable family (have an elderly parent in the house, pets, etc.) and would really have to stretch financially to buy and sell to move with current interest rates as they are. "More options" are cold comfort when you get a bad lottery draw and are left having to make really hard choices under tight time constraints. Maybe other families have more financial resources to move easily or are just more zen, but I'm just worried and wondering whether other families are starting to think about back up plans. [/quote]

We are like you and can’t move easily for various reasons. If we completely bomb the lottery (DCI from a feeder, the Latins, Inspired, Stuart Hobson) we would consider St. Anselms or another Catholic.  I am a teacher so our last resort would be for me to get a job at our preferred school, which is not ideal since I love my current job. [/quote]

Interestingly, last year you actually had worse odds lotterying into SH (58% offered), SWW@FS (47% offered), or Hardy (43% offered) in 6th than into BASIS in 5th. I don't know that there's a good way to approximate where you might land in the general lottery if you struck out at DCI from a DCI feeder, but would be helpful in thinking through overall odds. Though for what it's worth, ITS was at 91% offered in 6th in SY23-24.[/quote]

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