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[quote=Anonymous]This is a really complicated thing to study and no one on this board is going to give you more than their own gut reaction.  Even if I think about how to set up a big research study to answer your questions, a huge number of methodological problems arise in getting to a good answer.

A big one is that the profile of a kid going to private is completely different from one going to public.  Private school kids are pretty much 100% in families that place a strong value on education, generally, and probably also on brand name education, specifically. Their parents are, themselves, educated and probably wealthy, and probably savvy about the college admissions game.  So a straight comparison of the percentage of kids from public/private going to a name-brand college won't tell you anything because you're not comparing apples to apples.

In other words, since the profile of the private school kid (not in terms of intelligence, but in terms of commitment and preparation) should give them huge advantages in college admission,  the question is whether their positive outcomes are as high as they 'should' be given that kid's profile.

In other words, if you took the same kid (whose parents will hire them tutors and push them along the perfect path in the college admissions game) and put them in public vs private, where are the better admissions chances?  I've no idea, but I could imagine that OP might be right.  That kid (with their parental advantages) might have a better chance out of a public school.

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