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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The acceptances from my child’s school seemed pretty predictable this year. The only thing that was surprising was some of the students who were offered freshman connection.  That seemed more random with a couple of students who had gotten into very selective schools (like USC early action) getting freshman connection.  [/quote]

It was very random in my DD’s friend group. She was accepted, but some friends with overall equivalent high stats didn’t. None of them treated UMD as a safety, but Naviance said it was a match. No use appealing because nothing substantial has changed since 11/1.

A couple of the girls are reeling. One has made a spreadsheet to try to determine if there was a pattern in who was accepted. When there are tiny percentage differences in scores and gpa among peers, it’s going to make rejected kids a little nuts for a while. [/quote]

I just checked my school's naviance and it looks like about 1430 SAT was a soft pivot point-- above that number there were plenty of reds but mostly greens.  Below that, there were plenty of greens but mostly reds.  This is data from a year or two ago.  That said, my kid also tells me of kids this year with 1500+ who weren't admitted or who got freshman connection.  I wonder if many kids didn't take the essays very seriously (assuming they were shoe-ins) or if the red checks are kids who didn't take rigorous classes.

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