Reply to NYT: Profound increase in black voters who support Trump

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It’s a free country. If black people feel Trump will do better for them then they can vote accordingly.[/quote]

I don't think it's unreasonable to assume that a Republican in the White House would be better for black folks in several areas. One, the current USAO in DC is Matthew Graves, a Biden appointee that declines to prosecute 67 percent of all arrests here. As a result, crime is once again an epidemic in DC - every corner of it. And the vast, vast majority of victims of violent crime in DC are black people. I don't know if people here actually talk to black people, but they went action - more police, more prosecutions, even the National Guard - to deal with crime. And that will never happen as long as Biden is president.

The border is another issue. Just because everyone is a shade of brown doesn't mean blacks naturally feel an affinity for Venezuelans who don't speak a word of English and whose children are overwhelming school districts around the country. Plus the additional pressure on housing and social services. Very often the feeling in the black community is that all those millions of illegal migrants are simply cutting to the front of the line.

Biden does not engender much loyalty in the black community. It's not like Obama. It's not even like the Clintons. I would not be surprised if 25 percent of blacks vote Republican. And I suspect turnout will be low. Add that to all the young people upset about Israel and I think Biden is going to have a lot of difficulty getting to a 2nd term. [b]He's a bad candidate for this moment in time.[/b][/quote]

And Trump is a good one? [/quote]

Of course not. Almost no one in this country wants to see a redux of Trump vs Biden. However, Biden is weak with his base. He needs college educated women, minorities, and young people to win the electoral college. His support among younger voters has been slipping rapidly after events in Israel. Many black folks lack any enthusiasm for Biden. And I don't think college educated women who are upset by Roes is enough to win this election.

Biden is extremely weal in several important ways. The people posting here tend to be well to do. I think they forget how devastating four years of serious inflation - food, rent, transportation - has been for most families. By purchasing power, the vast majority of Americans are significantly poorer than they were four years ago. Also, democrats are on the wrong side of crime. People look at San Francisco or Portland or DC and think no thank you. Give me Sheriff Bubba instead. And most importantly, Biden is far too old. He presents as a doddering old man and no one wants that in a president.

No one loves Trump either of course. I think average people remember his presidency as noisy but ultimately harmless. All he did legislatively was pass some tax cuts. And people felt wealthier then than they do now. I think there's an extremely high chance he defeats Biden. And if republicans do get it together and nominate Haley instead, there is no chance Biden wins the White House. It was incredibly stupid of democrats to presume that Americans want an 86 year old man who shuffles and mumbles to be their president.[/quote]

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