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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It says the state flagship (UVA) is DC’s safety with 93% acceptance chance for the intended major. but people here said the school should be nobody’s safety. So, still confused.[/quote]

Absolutely wrong. There is NO WAY CV lists 93% chance of acceptance for UVA. Wise perhaps. You could list 5.0, 1600, NMSF, ending world hunger, URM, Alumni kid, 1st gen and recruited athlete and the BEST you could hope for is less than 50%.[/quote]

“Kids do get into UVA so some do have high chances of it.”[/quote]

People win the lottery but that doesn’t mean anyone had a high chance of it. This is flawed logic. [/quote]

I have a CS degree, so logic is basically how I make money. Comparing this to a lottery is not logical at all. This is a statistics issue, and you need far more information to make a statement with any sort of authority. You don’t know what algorithms are used, or the qualifications of the person who posted or the program to which they were applying or their geographic location. There are way too many I knowns to state someone was “absolutely wrong” when there are clearly many kids each year who get into UMCP for a vast variety of reasons.

A lottery is a simple randomization. [/quote]

But one big factor is probably near random considerations, such as where you are in the pile and how burned out the application readers are. [/quote]

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