Reply to Is DC on the way to being San Francisco ?

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Reply to "Is DC on the way to being San Francisco ?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]SF is so dependent on tech, and those companies are the least likely to be in-office and are the most geographically mobile. DC has a lot of the kind of private sector jobs that have already brought people back full-time - law firms, consulting, lobbying, etc. - and a lot of those jobs need to be in the DC area. WFH for those folks has already peaked - anyone who commutes knows that the traffic is back, people are going in again. Feds are mostly hybrid with 1-2 days a pay period, which is a big change, but even 1/5th of the fed workforce coming into the city on any given day is a lot of people.  And if there is a Republican administration they are likely to make all the feds go back.

Not saying nothing will change in DC - I still think there will be fewer offices and office workers downtown overall, and that will hurt tax revenues - but SF was (is) uniquely badly-situated.  And as many have pointed out, even with all of that working against it, SF is still chugging along - it's not the deserted hellscape that right-wingers who haven't set foot in a city in 25 years like to pretend it is.  [/quote]

+1 to all of this. I really think people are over blowing the Fed angle.

1. Any job that requires a clearance has had people go in full time the entire pandemic, so there is always a large number of people who will always stay here. Ditto other jobs that require a good amount of face time like anything on the Hill and the entire Embassy/international organization community.

2. Of the Feds who are working from home, most always lived in the suburbs anyway. While a certain part of downtown DC where some federal buildings are is doing poorly, other areas like Georgetown, 14th St, and U street are thriving.

3. DC still has relatively harsh winters compared to California so it’s never going to attract the same kind of homeless crowds SF does. [/quote]

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