Reply to The future of Russia. Any foreign policy experts want to weigh in?

Forum Index » Political Discussion

Reply to "The future of Russia. Any foreign policy experts want to weigh in? "

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]As mentioned above the Russia-Ukraine conflict will grind forward to a stalemate next year with Russia annexing a significant chunk of Eastern Ukraine.  Western support for Ukraine will wane, leaving the situation pretty much as is.

Russia will then declare "victory" and retreat inward, occasionally rattling sabers with provocative language but otherwise relying on existing infrastructure and Chinese investment to lick their wounds for the next 10 years.  At that point they will have rebuilt their military , and will either renew the war with Ukraine, or invade another non-NATO country.   [/quote]

Stalemate and Russia annexing a significant portion of eastern Ukraine aren’t the same thing.

I’ve analyzed Russian politics and foreign policy on a professional level for 10 years and studied Russia on an undergraduate and graduate level. So in one capacity or another, I’ve analyzed this country since 2005.

The reality is that NO ONE knows what will happen with Russia in 6 months, much less 10 years.

The only thing I think is relatively safe to say is that we will not see a Russian leader who is willing to accept a weakened Russia, vis a vis the US and China. How any given Russian leader chooses to strengthen Russia will dictate how Russia impacts the rest of the world.

Outside of that, it’s anyone’s guess.[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics