Reply to For the "Close School" Crowd, help me with interpret these numbers...

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Both Moco and MCPS 7 day positivity  going down rapidly.

https://www.montgomerycountymd.gov/covid19/data/

very low risk of transmission even as we have a high number of cases.  This means positive case rate is dropping, as we are seeing in MCPS:

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/coronavirus/dashboard/

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/uploadedFiles/Coronavirus/dashboaird/January%2020%20Daily%20Data.pdf
1/20 - grand total 279

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/uploadedFiles/Coronavirus/dashboaird/January%2013%20Daily%20Data.pdf
1/13 - grand total 1015
1/6 - grand total 1842

I'm so glad my kids' schools stayed open even though one DC was quarantined for 10 days.  [/quote]

The chart you posted says “high risk of transmission,” not “very low.”[/quote]

NP. Are we really doing this again? There are five metrics. Some of them show "high risk." One of them shows "very low risk." You can debate which metric you think matters most, but let's have the literacy skills you'd expect from a high school freshman. [/quote]
People see what they want to see, even if the evidence is right before their eyes.  Case in point: Trump and his followers.

Yes, it shows right on the dashboard:

"Percent change in cases: very low risk of transmission".
"test Positivity rate: high transmission".

I stated clearly "very low RISK of transmission".  The doomsdayers only see "high transmission", not the "RISK". The doomsdayers do not know how to assess RISK.

Do these people ever go skiing? Because that's kind of a "high risk" sport -- people die; break bones, etc.. yet, people still go skiing. We do (though we haven't in the past few years), even though I have been hurt skiing.  I got hit by a car crossing the road. Bones fractured; concussion.  I still cross the road, same spot.  Why? Because there is still LOW RISK. Not NO RISK, but LOW RISK.  I'm just more careful. Same for skiing; we use helmets now and are more careful.

I hope using shouty capitals for RISK gets the point across that this is about RISK, not about whether there is or is not covid going around.[/quote]

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