Reply to 11 schools going virtual for 14 days starting tomorrow, 1/5

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There's probably no real pattern to these schools because it's such a small number-- better testing? more reporting? actual outbreak among a geographic or demographic group?

But I plotted them out on a map to at least get an idea.

This might work-- I could only add 10 here-- I'm missing Sherwood ES in Olney

https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Cannon+Road+Elementary+School/Forest+Knolls+Elementary+School/North+Chevy+Chase+Elementary/Rock+Terrace+School/Rosemont+Elementary+School/Roberto+Clemente+Middle+School/Waters+Landing+Elementary+School/Hallie+Wells+Middle+School/Seneca+Valley+High+School/Monocacy+Elementary+School/@39.1144777,-77.3331571,11z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m62!4m61!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b7c543c42bddb1:0xd2a84447424691b0!2m2!1d-76.9943994!2d39.0687916!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b7cf65e1371b47:0x78db13e513b53cee!2m2!1d-77.0203899!2d39.0336879!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b7c93bdc873e47:0x1f5d39fe3709c810!2m2!1d-77.0730537!2d38.9989746!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b7cd70175a43ab:0x2379fe14b940c44d!2m2!1d-77.1600719!2d39.0932441!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b7d2b6e52d8ca5:0xd76073f712b51197!2m2!1d-77.1858649!2d39.1248122!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b62c5a79e01aff:0x4fd1af6ada87d71e!2m2!1d-77.2476655!2d39.1655849!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b62c120435f31b:0x3e08b20b849078b3!2m2!1d-77.2684843!2d39.1889705!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b62b0735840c73:0xdef71f9339502584!2m2!1d-77.2399467!2d39.2323039!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b62c3f68382f17:0xa6f2ec92ae7c0041!2m2!1d-77.2641458!2d39.1744841!1m5!1m1!1s0x89b62611b4aee1ed:0x1ea23f535b2cb1d7!2m2!1d-77.3930382!2d39.2242571!3e0

It looks like:

3 Downcounty
1 Rockville
1 Gaithersburg
1 Olney 
5 Germantown and points north

Again, probably means nothing, but almost half the schools are in ~Germantown, which has about 10% of the MoCo population.[/quote]

I teach in Germantown and not surprised.  There is a lot of shared housing up there with multiple families under one roof.  Many parents who don't have jobs that allow for sick leave.  We are always hit hard by the flu so I'm not shocked that COVID is spreading.  We have had a few kids who just don't show up for school and parents can't/won't get them tested for COVID so numbers are always a little skewed.[/quote]

I don't think you can read in to the numbers like that. I have a child at a Potomac area school and I can tell you half of her friends' families all have covid right now. I don't see any of that information reflected in the official numbers for the school although maybe it's in the spreadsheet that will be shared later today. I don't think it's just a coincidence that DD has friends whose families have the virus now but I think it's just that there's a 25 plus percent positivity rate in the community so it's just everywhere.

I think what you are seeing right now is mostly STAFF numbers and if a school has done a good job of getting the word out about how to report you may be seeing some of that too.

I want schools to remain open but I think their data is wrong and they are making ill informed decisions.[/quote]

25% positivity rate in Montgomery County? That is crazy high. If true, I would support all schools go virtual for two weeks [/quote]

From The Atlantic team that was running the nations covid tracker in 2020:
“This is your annual reminder that positive test data backlogs resolve faster than total test data backlogs after US holidays so the “unbelievable” state test positivity numbers you’re getting from national trackers are nonsense.”
https://twitter.com/kissane/status/1478019697261957120?s=21[/quote]

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