Reply to Excellent podcast from Politico from youngkin strategists on how they won

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Youngkin’s win was due to good old fashioned Southern Strategy.  They can try to dress it up all that want, but it doesn’t change reality.[/quote]

I have no doubt this makes you feel better about the terrible campaign McAuliffe waged, but it is both delusional and self-defeating. Wise up. [/quote]

+100
Excuse after ridiculous excuse... when are Dems going to simply admit no one wanted what they were selling?  People are on to them.  [/quote]

Given that nearly half of Virginia voters cast a ballot for McAuliffe, I’d say a lot of people preferred McAuliffe to Youngkin.  You’re acting like the election was a blow-out when in reality Youngkin won by less than 2 points.  [/quote]
Democrats blew an easy win with a well known candidate in a state that was sharply trending blue a year ago.  But it's okay.  I don't expect most Democrats to understand how much they are alienating the middle until after they lose in 2024, hopefully not to Trump.  [/quote]

From day one, no one thought McAuliffe would be an easy win this year.  You are rewriting history.[/quote]
You can get an idea of what people thought from predictit's 90 day chart
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election

McAuliffe was the heavy favorite (and leading in the polls) until the last week or two.

But at this point, I am not surprised at progressives trying to rewrite history so that they don't have to change course.[/quote]

Thinking someone is more likely to win isn’t the same thing as saying it would be an easy win.  If you thinking the most likely scenario is candidate A winning by 1.2 points, then you can, at the same time, believe A will win but that it will be a close race and therefore not “easy.”

This is why the implications of polling and statistical analysis is lost on so many laypeople.  Odds of winning and magnitude of lead are not the same thing.[/quote]
 :roll: This is just a condescending way to say your personal fact-free opinion trumps actual evidence.  [/quote]

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