Reply to What happens with positive tests? Let’s predict the fall for elementary schools.

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The two factors that are unclear here, at least to me, are (1) when will the CDC change its close contact definition for elementary kids, and  (2) when will the vaccine be approved for 5-12?

For (1), I think it depends on how many kids end up in ICUs or die in Florida and Texas and Alabama and Louisiana.  We should have some info on that in a few weeks. If we are lucky, very few kids will have severe consequences from delta. But I do t think we know yet.

For vaccine approval, even if approved Oct 1, it will take a few weeks to get all kids their first dose and another 5-6 weeks after that for full immunity. So earliest we don’t have widespread vaccination till December.[/quote]

I agree with you to a point.  None of these southern schools returning in early august seem to have have mask requirements.  And the CDC and everyone else is so focused on those groups and getting them to wear masks (which is a good first step) that I think we will be operating under the “mask mandates are enough” fallacy for a while.  [/quote]

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