Reply to help me stay calm at my Big 3 during college process

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Look at the data on Naviance to see the fraction of the recent classes at each tier (hypsm, other ivies, then the rest of Usnwr t30 plus 4 slacs).

Try to figure out where in the class DC ranks. (This is hard to do now without class ranking data but you need to make a guesstimate.)

This will give you a more realistic estimate of likely outcomes than either “it’s impossible” or “I’m at ___, I’ll get in.”[/quote]

Just keep in mind some of those admits will be athletes, URM, and legacy [/quote]

[b]We’ve been over this already. The fraction of a Big 3 class that’s good enough to get recruited is very small. (Hint — if you’re good enough to get recruited, then you’re dominating your current level of competition.)
[/b]
Legacy isn’t worth very much.

URM you can probably figure out. Just adjust your estimate of your class rank to account for this. [/quote]

This is not true. Ten STA recruited athletes this year in a class of 75. Most D3 not D1 and not nationally notable or ranked. This is a typical year. [/quote]

The intersection of D3 and USNWR top-k is basically MIT, Caltech, and the 4 SLACs.

Congrats to the D3 recruits — playing any sport at that level is an achievement — but irrelevant to the question in this thread, which is how to guesstimate OPs DCs chances so they can refine their list. For that, it’s necessary to know how much to discount previous success by graduates of their school on the basis of non academic factors their DC does not have. [/quote]

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