Reply to Why is the overcrowding issue so complex?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
No way is Foxhall gaining a couple of thousand school age kids in the next couple of years nor will it even if you add in Stoddert or Mann - there is almost no residential development slated in bounds for any of those 3 schools.  [/quote]

Check out the Office of Planning projections at: https://dme.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/dme/publication/attachments/Office%20of%20Planning%20Presentation%20for%20CSCTF%204%2026%2016.pdf

Particularly page 22, where they have youth population projections. Foxhall Road is the boundary between Cluster 13 and Cluster 14. While they don't have specific numbers, both clusters are colored in the color that indicates growth of 1,772-3,278 school age kids. So the two clusters together have a minimum of 3500 kids growth and possibly as much as 6500.

It's not driven by residential development, it's families moving into existing housing. [/quote]

Well they must be anticipating at lot of Catholics and Mormons moving in with enormous families then - the area on the map you point to is really low density so to get that many kids in that area you would need a lot of large families AND a lot of turnover of housing stock to enable that.

And BTW they don't predict that area as one growing particularly fast relative to other DC neighborhoods.

But the graphic with the map makes zero sense as they predict lower growth rates in the parts of Ward 3 that are potentially going to see actual new housing units built.

I suspect this is someone twisting the facts to make them match this illogical political decision to spend money on facilities in Foxhall rather than simply forcing more middle class whites to attend under utilized schools in Ward 4.[/quote]

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