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[quote=Anonymous]OP. Admission to top 30 schools is a crapshoot. 
If your child has a good GPA and an above average SAT (low to mid 1500s) they will probably stand a chance. A good essay or a good recommendation might help. 
If it were me, I would encourage my child to put together a long list of schools they would love to attend based on the program they are interested in or based on fit. Once the SAT scores come in, look at that list again and narrow it down.  For my child, he picked 3 top 30 schools (he had high stats so these were technically matches but no hooks so they were in reality reaches), 4 schools that were in the 30-50 range and a couple that were in the 50s but had good honors programs and offered merit aid. 
You could do something similar- 3 schools that he loves but tough to get into, 3/4 schools he loves/likes that he should get into and 2/3 schools that are highly likely to accept him. 
Framing it this way helps to set expectations. We wanted our child to go for something he wanted even though the likelihood of success was low. He had the stats so we knew he was qualified but he just didn’t have any hooks. Without a hook, it becomes a little random and hard to predict outcomes. As long as they understand that it is worth trying to get into a school you love. 
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