Reply to Politics, not COVID rates, determined school openings

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I love how "keen observers" miss the alarmingly high COVID rates in countries with open schools, and in areas of the US with open schools. If anything, politics have forced schools to open when they should have stayed shut.[/quote]

Did you read the article? There is no correlation between covid rates and school openings. I’m still agog at supposedly progressive and intelligent DC parents who don’t get this. [/quote]

That's impossible to know. What is possible to know is the COVID rates that go up when schools open. What a mystery, eh?[/quote]

Rates are also going up where schools are closed.  So what's your point?[/quote]
The issue is... what else changed? What stayed the same?
Some things you can account for. 
PA example - bars, restaurants, churches, sports - all open in June. Rates doubled from August & September to October... weather was still nice so no big surge of indoor activity... So what happened?
1. School resumed.
2. Labor Day parties, soccer tournaments, etc
Rates doubled again in November. Is it
1. school spread
2. Halloween parties
3. Trump rallies
4. Less daylight = more indoor activity
OR
5. all of the above
Honestly, contact tracing with no testing does very little when it comes to people being asymptomatic but possibly spreading. Possible scenario: Amy had COVID and was in class with Bob and Charlie. Neither have symptoms, never take a test.  Bob and Charlie play baseball and soccer.  Dave and Emery from these sports get COVID... but no idea where they got it from, because they weren't in class or in contact with Amy or anyone else who was sick.  
So, my son's school... just quarantined the entire 7th grade - they were hybrid, but because the teachers were exposed, they had to move the entire grade to remote. "Maya" was notified that she was in close contact with one of the people that tested positive (3 cases in last 2 weeks). Maya is currently "not feeling well". Maya's brother, "Maurice", who is in elementary (full time) is riding around the neighborhood looking for kids to go play with him. Several do. I see them playing at the park. So... when Maurice's friends get COVID, will they realize the spread came from the middle school sibling? Probably not. 
So many cases are "no idea where it came from" when the reality is, its asymptomatic people that have no clue they are spreading it.[/quote]

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