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College and University Discussion
Reply to "Current HS seniors deferring college for a year?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There most likely won’t be online classes in the fall.[/quote] I think it is more likely to have online classes than regular classes; unless you are suggesting no classes til later, like a late fall term or January.[/quote] The curve is flattening, the death rate is dropping and will be close to zero per day by mid to late May. Students will be at their colleges this fall.[/quote] Chicago will peak in mid May. [/quote] You do realize that after the peak, states will open up non-essential businesses (some without having peaked!), cases will rise again within a month, hospitals will get overwhelmed, things will shut back down and so it goes until they have found an effective treatment or we get herd immunity. As many scientists and some government officials, like Merkel, have stated, we are just at the beginning of this.[/quote] Outside of NY (and maybe Louisiana?), nowhere did hospitals get overwhelmed (if anything, they are woefully underwhelmed and in danger of closing in some places). Due to the shutdown of course; the goal would be to find the sweet spot of distancing where life can continue for the non-vulnerable but hospitals not be overwhelmed. The Navy hospital ship is leaving or has already left NYC because it wasn't being used. Not sure what the state governments have planned, but it would make sense to me to use the numbers from the first shutdown as a guide for # cases leading to # hospitalizations with regard to system capacity and when, if at all, there needs to be more shutdown. Certainly there is difficulty with the data and allowing some cushion of extra capacity to be careful, but there seems to be a lot of confusion (in other threads) over the goal of not overwhelming capacity vs preventing any-and-all infection.[/quote]
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