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Reply to "US coronavirus cases top 10,000 and on the same or worse curve than Italy"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]For many reasons, Italy is not a good comp.[/quote] We won't have as high a percentage of deaths, but there is a good chance we will have the highest percentage of sick people in the world and that our hospitals will be overwhelmed.[/quote] Based on?[/quote] Extrapolating out the exponential curve out a week or two. We are where Italy was a week ago and have a higher growth rate. On Tuesday, based on a 30% growth rate, I predicted we would have 10,000 cases by today. Well we have more like a 45% growth rate which gave us 20,000 cases today. [/quote]
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