Reply to What happens to the bottom 10% of the class at an elite?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Also you see career trajectories.  “Winning” the first round of hiring post-BA is neither a necessary nor a sufficient step in establishing a successful career.  [/quote]

PP - Please elaborate.[/quote]

One reason you look at earlier cohorts is you don’t get meaningful results re outcomes unless you follow a group of grads for a period of years (at which point they aren’t, by definition, recent grads).  In the first round of post-BA hires, it will look like schools and GPAs matter the most because that’s about the only data there is to work with.  But no one gives a damn about your college GPA if, after 2 years you aren’t producing.  Also, lots of first jobs after college (e.g. consulting, TfA, paralegal) are really way stations — temporary gigs where people improve their credentials for grad school admissions, try out an industry or a city, rebuild their finances, overcome academic burnout, etc.  It takes a while for people to sort out what they want to do where and for employers to sort out who they want to keep/fire/promote.  [/quote]

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