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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]OMG, what's happening in Pennsylvania?

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris[/quote]

538 rates Trafalger 279th.  They are known to lean very conservative and they do not use demographics to balance their polling candidates and over-represent conservative pollees, so they are basically propaganda for the conservatives, rather than actual statistics.

538 rates Atlas 22nd, so not terrible, but not the strongest.  Also, their demographics might be a little off:
[url]https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf[/url]
They use 50% female, 48.7% male.  Pennsylvania, like most of the US, has about 55% female to 45% male ratio of voters.  Additionally, since Dobbs, PA has had many more female new voters than male (about +12% female, so about 56-44).
Atlas also overrepresented the racial demographics.  
PA is about 73% White, 10% Black, 8 Hispanic, 4% Asian
Atlas polled 81% White, 9% Black, 6% Hispanic and 2% Asian

538 rates InsiderAdvantage 95th, pretty low down.  This poll was conducted 9/14-15, two weeks ago and was before the attempted assassination attempt on Trump in Florida.  It was also before Trump and Vance spread the false Haitians dogs and cats rumor.[/quote]

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