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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Hogan running for Senate"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]He will not win. [/quote] It’s going to be hilarious to see the Moco partisans have conniption fits when there’s Senator Trone representing Maryland. In fact, the reason they are all supporting Alsobrooks is a bit strategic because they know she’s going to lose to Trone and that Trone will lose to Hogan. So they plan to blame the loss on Trone “buying” the primary despite the fact that obviously Alsobrooks would lose in the general even worse. Maryland is absolutely synonymous with craven politicians. [/quote] Polls show both Alsobrooks and Trone ahead of Hogan in a head to head.[/quote] Which polls? Every poll that has been published to date by reputable outlets like the Baltimore Sun and Baltimore Banner show Hogan beating both, but having a harder time with Trone than Alsobrooks. [/quote] ce May, the polls have leaned for both Trone and Alsobrooks. [url]https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/maryland/general/[/url] May 6-7 Public Policy Polling by Emily's List Alsobrooks 46%/Hogan 37% (Alsobrooks +9) May 6-7 Public Policy Polling by Emily's List Trone 47%/Hogan 37% (Trone +10) May 6-8 Emerson College by The Hill/Nexstar/WDVM-TV (Hagerstown, MD) Alsobrooks 48%/Hogan 38% (Alsobrooks +10) May 6-8 Emerson College by The Hill/Nexstar/WDVM-TV (Hagerstown, MD) Trone 49%/Hogan 38% (Trone +11) Alsobrooks and Trone have been ramping up the advertising and the public outreach. With the primary coming up on May 14, more voters are starting to pay attention including many who will tip the scales.[/quote] Emily’s list does not do high quality polls. [/quote] It’s a poll of “Registered Voters”. That should be a big red flag right away. Seeing Democrats jump on this poll is about the same as when Republicans tricked themselves into believing that partisan ID in national polls were “skewed” in 2012. That led many Republicans to believe Obama was reelected due to voter fraud and contributed to the Republican brain worm that led to J6. Interesting to see Democrats follow suit. [/quote]
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