Reply to Montgomery- 5 more days and masks off.

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Lol.  Number is heading back down again after 2 very low days.

You know its going to dip below 50 the same day they meet to vote.

Classic MoCo[/quote]

Ha. So true. Typical of low level county employees...[/quote]

The numbers are the numbers. It's math. What do "low level county employees" have to do with it?[/quote]
I think the ^PP is alluding to the county jumping the gun and panicking because the number ticked up for ONE day.  It was a dumb policy to only look at the ONE day.  The policy should have looked at the trend for 7 or 14 days, not ONE day.  That was stupid, but at least they are seeing the problem with looking at the metric for just ONE day and making a decision.[/quote]

Thank you. Stupid policy. Use weekly avg, as mentioned. [/quote]

Well, the weekly average changes every day.  So, before, they were using one instance of a weekly average.  With the change, they'll required to meet 7 consecutive days of weekly average instances[/quote]

If they use an avg. range/band to account for the ups/downs of when testing occurs, that would be better. Generally, more positive tests come in later in the week, so lets smooth that out a bit is all I'm saying. That way, when it pops above some number the day after the mandate is lifted, the mask mandate isn't automatically re-imposed. Give it some wiggle room both ways...If they don't, people will just tune them out cause it fails the common sense test.[/quote]

The seven-day average already provided the smoothing that you seek. It was clear when they lifted the mandate that cases would go back above the threshold because cases were already increasing from their low earlier in the week and because the positivity rate had been increasing. 
[b]
This is all political theater now anyway. [/b]If the council thought masks were important to limiting transmission, they wouldn’t be changing the metrics because they don’t like the numbers and they wouldn’t be delaying the reimposition of the mask mandate until next week. [/quote]

Yep.  Really bad political theater.  It’s like Montgomery County is just stuck in a really poorly-written, poorly directed play with a crappy director.  [/quote]

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