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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Hogan running for Senate"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]He will not win. [/quote] It’s going to be hilarious to see the Moco partisans have conniption fits when there’s Senator Trone representing Maryland. In fact, the reason they are all supporting Alsobrooks is a bit strategic because they know she’s going to lose to Trone and that Trone will lose to Hogan. So they plan to blame the loss on Trone “buying” the primary despite the fact that obviously Alsobrooks would lose in the general even worse. Maryland is absolutely synonymous with craven politicians. [/quote] Polls show both Alsobrooks and Trone ahead of Hogan in a head to head.[/quote] Interesting. I have only seen polls with Hogan maintaining a solid lead. But I do suspect the polls will tighten after the primary and that either D has a good chance. Hogan is popular and also has a good chance, but I think it’s a very tall order for that many crossover votes in a presidential election. Maryland, interestingly enough, is the only state where Biden has been consistently above water in popularity. Maryland voters - which, like it or not, are highly concentrated between I-495, I-95, and I-270, LOVE Biden for what he is: an establishment Democrat. Hogan’s popularity vs. Maryland’s partisan leaning is fairly evenly matched. I would still say slight edge to the Democrats because the informed voter base is not going to send an R to the Senate. My guess will be D+2 in the end. [/quote]
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