Reply to How did Herndon/Westfield HS go from top to bottom?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Using VDOE statistics for current 6th graders, it appears a new high school drawing from the current 6th graders from Coates, Fox Mill, Hutchison, McNair, Oak Hill, and 1/2 of Floris would look about like this:

Class size - @ 560-570 kids

FARMS rate: @ 33.5% (slightly above current county-wide rate)

Ethnic composition:  Asian 36.7%, Hispanic 27.3%, White 22.4%, Black 9.2%, Multi-Racial 4.4%

So, like Centreville and Chantilly now, it would have a plurality Asian population and would not resemble Mount Vernon, which is currently both majority FARMS and majority Hispanic.  
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Everyone who was basing their data off of this needs to RE-EVALUATE NOW because for enrollment alone after triple checking, the class size is ~690 kids! Way way off base. I am positive the OP to the original comment didn't realize that McNair was split into a lower and upper school thus effecting the enrollment numbers. No way this could fit both Oak Hill and Fox Mill, it has to drop one. Thus, probably turning this somewhere around 45-50% or so FARMS kids. And then again kids .5 miles from Hutchison HS are being sent to Herndon HS still! The above seems to have been written as a self fulfilling wish and as such neglected data counts. [/quote]

Nope.  It was based on the current 6th graders at Coates, Fox Mill, Hutchison, McNair, Oak Hill, and 1/2 of Floris.  Obviously the 6th graders at McNair attend McNair Upper.

The fact that there might be a few Herndon ES kids living closer to the Western HS site at Hutchison than Herndon HS who remained zoned to Herndon wouldn't invalidate the Hutchison-Coates-McNair-Fox Mill-Oak Hill- 50% Floris plan.  If you flipped it and moved Herndon ES to the Western HS site, you'd then have kids living within [b].25 [/b]miles of Herndon HS being sent to Hutchison HS.

I hope you save all these corrections of your misstatements for when you really need them.  [/quote]

Pulling Floris and Fox Mill back out of South Lakes will just return South Lakes to its prior to RD death spiral.[/quote]

That poster is advocating such a stupid decision presumably for his own benefit. Doesn’t he realize South Lakes still has high poverty areas too in Lake Anne, Dogwood, Forest Edge, Hunters Woods also? But yet wants to selfishly takeaway the majority of the advantaged kids at South Lakes to push his abomination of a redistricting plan. Whether that poster wants to admit it or not I’m just going to assume he is a McNair/Coates middle class townhouse resident and attacking those that oppose it as racist/classist to project his own insecurities. DO THE MATH. It’s just not possible to save All THREE of Herndon /Soith Lakes/ Hutchison from the resulting demographics in the area. One of them has to get the short end of the stick. Given how the natural boundaries form out in the area he then crazily wants to bus in Oak Hill kids 6 miles away and by his own admission but not have those kids .5 miles away. it’s too fishy. Then got his enrollment numbers completely wrong in his wishcasting scheme.

The majority of Fox Mill/Floris kids have gotten used to South Lakes by now and it is unfair to have redistricting them so soon again, especially given the proximity issue, [/quote]

I've lived in the Floris area for decades... It's not as if the SB or Staff ever gave a f... about fairness to us.  We're out at the edge of two magisterial/SB districts so have never had and never will have real representation on the board. We're just UMC numbers to paper over FCPS's demographics/statistical outcomes problems.
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