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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

[b]PA holds R[/b], and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.
[/quote]

Really?  You think that Dr. Oz can beat Fetterman?  Fetterman is hugely popular and not just in Western PA.  I don't think a TV personality with no public office history is going to unseat a popular Lt Governor.  And I think Dr. Oz has a better chance than anyone else in the race because he has more face and name recognition.  Dr. Oz will win with a lot of people who don't pay attention to politics.  It's still too early and too close to call, but Politico had this from early December:

[url]https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2021/12/09/scoop-oz-polls-strong-in-pa-senate-race-495407[/url]
[quote][b]FIRST IN PLAYBOOK:[/b] 
Our PA politics expert Holly Otterbein writes in: MEHMET OZ’s opponents are starting to survey his standing in the campaign for Senate in Pennsylvania. Data for Progress, the pollster for Democratic Lt. Gov. JOHN FETTERMAN, tested a general-election matchup between the two candidates from Dec. 3-5. Fetterman narrowly leads Oz 44-42 among likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Fetterman is ahead among independents, women, college-educated voters and the under-45 set. Oz is winning men, white voters, those without a college degree and voters 45 and up. Data for Progress said it did not test a head-to-head between Oz and Rep. CONOR LAMB, Fetterman’s top opponent in the primary. The full memo is here[/quote][/quote]

Laugh at Oz at your peril. Fetter man will never be as popular as a TV star.[/quote]

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