Reply to What is the End Game in Ukraine?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The end?  Russia leaves.  Pays billions to Ukraine.  Putin has to leave power.  They may have to give up nukes but. They can still salvage that for a short window after regime change.  Otherwise us sanctions don’t come off. Russia is done as even a second tier power.   They will be more like Turkey or Greece.  [/quote]

I think the end game will depend on whether [b]Ukraine gets the Donbas region back.[/b] If Europe has a reliable ally that also can supply it with oil and gas, then Russia gets relegated to a vassal state of China (if it's not already). It loses all of its leverage with Europe. While reparations would be great, I don't see that ever happening outside of western countries using the assets seized in connection with sanctions to rebuild Ukraine. I could see a large de-militarized zone separating it from Russia like North and South Korea and an uneasy truce settling in with occasional flare ups. Of course, all bets are off if Trump wins in 2024.[/quote]

Imagine what Ukraine could have had if it didn't have a genius idea of shuttering Russian-language schools and TV channels in Donbas! [/quote]

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