Reply to What is the End Game in Ukraine?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I should preface this by saying that I'm not a pro-Russian troll.  The invasion of Ukraine is both unprovoked and has led to an unending stream of Russian atrocities.  I would love to see Russia pushed out of both Eastern Ukraine and Crimea.

[b]But I'm getting confused about Ukraine's prognosis and our own objectives.   Ukraine has failed to reclaim any significant territory since Kharkiv in the Spring.  T[/b]hey lack the manpower to conduct the urban warfare required to push Russia from its defensive positions.   From everything I've read the HIMARS long-range missiles donated by the US, while allowing spectacular strikes behind Russian lines, are not likely to substantially affect Russia's long-term defensive capabilities.   So we have a long-term (maybe permanent) stalemate.  Except it's only a stalemate because of constant infusions of weapons from NATO countries.

So are you supportive of a permanent lien on the US military budget to keep the war as a stalemate?  Is that even a moral choice, given the civilian destruction that will result?  Should we be pressing instead for some negotiated swap of territory for peace?   Or is it better to keep on present course, checkmating Russia by proxy even at a cost to Ukraine's civilian population and military?[/quote]

How's this looking now, OP? [/quote]

OP here.  Since you asked, I'm excited by the progress made by Ukraine and hope it continues, although my understanding is that liberating Kherson will be much more difficult.[/quote]

Ukraine seems to be able to handle difficult.[/quote]

I like the fact that 40k Russian troops are close to being fully cut off in the south and the eastern offensive certainly can't have helped with Russian supplies, reinforcements, or morale. If it's a war of attrition, I like Ukraine's chances on its own ground and the steady supply of Western support. Putin played his last card (aside from nuclear shenanigans) by cutting off natural gas to Germany. If Europe can bridge the gap over the next year or two, there ain't going back to Russian oil and gas. And those sanctions are going to begin to really bite.[/quote]

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