Reply to VA: First COVID-19 Case Confirmed

Forum Index » Health and Medicine

Reply to "VA: First COVID-19 Case Confirmed"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I’m just trying to wrap my head around the DMV being doomed to 200,000 cases in less than 60 days, when we haven’t even seen that number GLOBALLY in 3-4 months. [/quote]

Are you paying attention to how other countries are stopping the spread? We aren't doing that.[/quote]

It's hard for people to understand these types of increases.  To understand how we could have 200k when the whole world doesn't have it, let's start at the first infection and do world-wide numbers.

day 0 -  1 case - when the virus jumps from an animal and infects a human.  This is sometime at the start of November of 2019. 
day 6 - 2 cases
12 - 4 cases
18 - 8 cases
24 - 16 cases
30 - 32 cases 
36 - 64 cases
42 - 128 cases - In December when the virus is discovered and the RNA is distributed to the world.
48 - 256 cases
54 - 512 cases
60 - 1024 cases - this is the start of January when local government in Wuhan is attempting a coverup.
66 - 2048
72 - 4096 
78 - 8192 - 
84 - 16384
90 - 32768
96 - 65536
102 - 131072
108 - 262144[/quote]

But the doubling time is more like 2-3 days, not 6.

[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics