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[quote=Anonymous]Here's another way to look at RAE: How is your kid today compared to your kid 8-11 months ago? That's the difference for an Aug-Dec kid going from a BY based tryout to a SY based tryout.

My kid's playing is noticeably far better today. If I was choosing between my kid today and my kid 8 months ago, my kid today gets the nod every time. Same kid, same "overall" skill level potential, but those months have seen continual skill growth, and the difference is absolutely there. No way someone picks my kid form 8 months ago over my kid from today.

At high level teams, a lot of the tryout pool is pretty darn good, so the younger kids are more likely to be just outside the cutoff, because the draw is large enough to pull a large group of strong players and some kids have had longer to cook. And of course there are super strong players in the younger age range who can make the bar. It's helpful to understand distributions, probabilities, and outliers.

If your kid isn't improving like that so you can't understand the different in how relative age shifts their position in the distribution - what are you even doing. Go train.[/quote]

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